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Thursday, January 4, 2024

Economists Are Roasting Biden’s ‘Incoherent’ Inflation Tweet—and for Good Reason

President Joe Biden’s approval rating is tanking, and he’s now trailing former President Donald Trump in national polls, as well as in some key swing states .

Vox blames the economy for Biden’s plunging popularity — or at least voters’ perception of the economy. A new Gallup poll shows that just 32% of people approve of Biden’s handling of the economy.

To combat the narrative that Biden’s policies are to blame, the White House has gone on the offensive, attacking billionaires and blaming corporations for the economic pain the public is experiencing.

“Let me be clear to any corporation that hasn’t brought their prices back down even as inflation has come down: It’s time to stop the price gouging,” Biden tweeted . “Give American consumers a break.”

It’s a strange line of attack for several reasons, but the most glaring one is that it’s entirely devoid of economic sense, something University of Michigan economics professor Justin Wolfers observed on X.

“This is not only incoherent; it’s unhelpful,” Wolfers, a senior fellow at the left-leaning Brookings Institution, said of Biden’s tweet. “It’s incoherent because lower inflation is cause for firms to moderate their price hikes, rather than cut prices. It’s unhelpful because the only path back to earlier price levels is deflation, which comes with massive economic pain.”

Melissa S. Kearney, an economics professor at the University of Maryland, responded with a face-palm emoji.

“I’m guessing the economists weren’t consulted on this one,” Kearney deadpanned.

The obvious fact the Biden White House missed is that while inflation might be slowing, it’s still positive, which means prices are still increasing — and at a clip much faster than the Federal Reserve’s target of 2%. That companies would cut prices amid a general rise in consumer prices defies economic sense.

A second problem with Biden’s tweet is that he points the finger at companies for inflation that stems from the government’s policies. In one of his most famous lectures, the Austrian economist Ludwig von Mises pointed out that inflation is just that: a policy .

And if we look at recent U.S. monetary policy, it’s clear why people are suffering from inflation.

Over a four-year period, the Fed increased the M2 money supply from $14 trillion to $22 trillion at its height in the summer of 2022, an increase of more than 50% in just four years.

The M2 money supply has fallen slightly, to $21 trillion, due to tighter Fed policy, but it is still significantly above pre-pandemic levels.

This is the cause of price inflation, and one need only look at the Fed’s description of what causes inflation to confirm this.

“Inflation is caused when the money supply in an economy grows at a faster rate than the economy’s ability to produce goods and services,” the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis states on its “ Money and Inflation ” resource page.

The obvious question is: If printing money causes inflation, why are we doing it?

The Fed has long claimed that inflation is just the price we must pay to keep unemployment low, but using monetary policy to fight unemployment has always been problematic. It’s true that there is, generally, an inverse relationship between unemployment and inflation, as demonstrated by the Phillips curve . When inflation rises, unemployment falls and vice versa — at first.

This relationship weakens over time , however, which is why some astute economists, including the Nobel Prize-winner F. A. Hayek , believed that using monetary policy to curb unemployment would inevitably result in higher and higher inflation, as central banks would have to print more and more money to maintain low unemployment.

We’ve seen this phenomenon play out in numerous countries in recent history, including Argentina , where inflation is above 140%. Despite Argentina’s high inflation, its unemployment rate has averaged about 8.5% over the last decade. In other words, Argentina has high inflation and high unemployment, just as the United States did in the 1970s.

Managing unemployment might be the stated reason for inflationary policy, but the actual reason seems to be something else: It facilitates government spending. As the Nobel Prize-winning economist Milton Friedman and others have pointed out, inflation is a tax.

Taxes are what facilitate government spending, and once one grasps that inflation is a tax, the inflation picture becomes clear. Inflation is caused by expanding the money supply, but the impetus behind the money printing is government spending.

Politicians can’t admit this, of course. So they concoct ridiculous economic arguments that blame companies for the very inflation their policies cause.

This article originally appeared on The Washington Examiner. 

Jon Miltimore
Jon Miltimore

Jonathan Miltimore is the Editor at Large of FEE.org at FEE.

This article was originally published on FEE.org. Read the original article.

Economists Are Roasting Biden’s ‘Incoherent’ Inflation Tweet—and for Good Reason

Vintage Photos - Oestreicher (1261-1264)

See the previous post in this series here.

I had the opportunity to pick up a huge batch of slides a while back. These pictures span from as early as the late 1940s to as late as the early 1990s. These came to me second hand but the original source was a combination of estate sales and Goodwill. There are many thousands of these slides. I will be scanning some from time to time and posting them here for posterity.

Getting your pictures processed as slides used to be pretty common but it was a phenomenon I missed out on. However, my Grandfather had a few dozen slides from the late 1950s that I acquired after he died. That along with having some negatives I wanted to scan is what prompted me to buy a flatbed scanner that could handle slides and negatives, an Epson V600. It can scan up to four slides at a time with various post-processing options and does a decent enough job.

This set continues a large batch of slides that originally came from an estate sale and appear to have belonged to a locally well known photographer (or perhaps a friend or family member) from the Spokane Washington area and later Northern Idaho named Leo Oestreicher. He was known for his portrait and landscape photography and especially for post cards. His career started in the 1930s and he died in 1990. These slides contain a lot of landscape and portrait photos but also a lot of photos from day to day life and various vacations around the world. Here's an article on him from 1997 which is the only info I have found on him: http://www.spokesman.com/stories/1997/jan/04/photos-of-a-lifetime-museum-acquisition-of-leo/

Many of these slides had the date they were processed stamped or printed on them. I've found that in cases where I could verify the date, that this date has typically been the same month the photos were taken. In other words, I expect that in MOST cases these photos were taken relatively near the processing date.

Click the link below to also see versions processed with color restoration and Digital ICE which is a hardware based dust and scratch remover, a feature of the Epson V600 scanner I am using. There are also versions processed with the simpler dust removal option along with color restoration.

Each of the photos in this set are labeled with names of people in the photos. No dates are included but they are likely from the late 1950s and at least the first one was taken around Christmas time based on the decorations you can see in the photo.


Rev. Jery Nelson + Leo


Lillian Shannon, Grace Russell


Olive Harrison


Leo + Marie


The entire collection that has been scanned and uploaded so far can also be found here.

Wednesday, January 3, 2024

Compute! (October 1981)

Compute! (October 1981)

Compute! is a home computer magazine that got its start all the way back in 1979. Later on, it tended to be less technical than something like Byte but by today's standards, all computer magazines were somewhat technical when this issue was published in October 1981. At the time, Compute! covered computers based on the 6502 processors such as the Commodore PET, Apple II, Atari 400/800, VIC-20 and others. This issue includes:

Columns

  • The Editor's Notes - Atari reduces prices in the wake of the introduction of the VIC-20 (they would ultimately lose the price war later on vs. the Commodore 64), IBM enters the personal computer market, Atari wins school contract in Minnesota, and more.

  • Computers and Society - Appropriate applications for home computers.

  • Readers Feedback - A commentary on the maturing of the computer industry and Computer Aided Instruction.

  • Ask the Readers - A question answered about the Apple II and TV interference and questions asked about video terminal options for an OSI computer, the 3040 Floppy Disk Unit for the PET, and more.

  • Basically Useful BASIC: Automatic DATA Statements For CBM and Atari - A type-in program that converts machine language code into BASIC DATA statements.

  • The Beginner's Page - Organizing and processing data with computers.

  • VIC-20 News - The latest released for the new VIC-20 including the VIC Graphics Printer from Axiom, a new disk drive (this would become the 1540), various memory expansion cartridges, an RS-232 adapter for connecting a modem, plus lots of software including Blackjack, Slither/Superslither, Biorhythm Compatibility, Space Math, Car Chase, Blue Meanies from outer Space, Programmer's Aid (adds new BASIC commands), and more.

The Apple Gazette

  • Budgeting On the Apple - A type in program for the Apple II that helps with budgeting tasks.

  • Named GOSUBs - A machine language routine that allows you to use named GOSUBs (instead of just line numbers) in BASIC programs.

  • A Tape "EXEC" For Applesoft: Loading Machine Language Programs Part II - A program that allows you to load both a BASIC program and ML routines it uses from tape.


Table of Contents from the October 1981 issue of Compute!

The Atari Gazette

  • Cassette Boot-Tape Generation From DOS 2.0S Binary Load File - A technique for creating a bootable tape on the Atari 400/800.

  • Beware The RAMTOP Dragon - A technique for creating protected memory areas...especially from Atari's memory management.

  • Documented Atari Bugs - A detailed description of bugs in Atari OS and BASIC software.

  • Graph It On The Atari - A type in program for creating plots and graphs.

  • Extending Player Missile Graphics - A machine language program for enhancing the capabilities of Atari's Player Missile Graphics (sprites).

  • Atari 400/800 Variable Name Utility - A type in program that will display the contents of the variable name table which lets you know which variable names are already in use.

The Pet Gazette

  • Practical Pet Printing Primer for Perplexed Programmers - A type-in program that helps you to print out program listings in a reasonable format.

  • Odds And Ends: A Fat Forty Bug - Illustration of a bug that sometimes occurs when running BASIC 4.0 programs on a PET with 12-inch screens that was originally written for 4-inch screens.

  • Machine Language: What's Your Sign? - Using signed vs. unsigned numbers.

  • Train Your Pet To Run VIC Programs - A technique for getting VIC BASIC programs to run on the PET.

  • Converting To Fat-40 - A tutorial for converting programs written for 9/10-inch PET 4032 to the 12-inch 40-column PET 4032.

  • High Resolution Bar Graphs For The Pet - A type-in program for creating bar graphs on the PET

The SBC Gazette

  • AIM 65 BASIC Floating Point Arithmetic From Machine Language - How to use floating point numbers on the SBC.

  • A General Purpose BCD-To-Binary Routine - A type-in program that will convert a BCD number with any number of digits to a binary number.


Back cover of the October 1981 issue of Compute!

Read more: https://www.megalextoria.com/wordpress/index.php/2024/01/03/compute-october-1981/

Tuesday, January 2, 2024

PC World (July 1988)

PC World (July 1988)

Computer magazines were pretty bulky back in the day. This issue of PC World, one of the more popular magazines at the time, from July 1988 weighs in at nearly 300 pages. It includes:

Data Management

  • Omnis Quartz 1.13 - This was the first relational database manager for Windows.

  • Q&A 3.0 - The features included in the latest update for this database manager include better performance, overlapping windows, and better backup capabilities.

  • DataEase 2.5 release 3 - This database manager includes the use of forms and menus for all functions as well as its own command language.

Word Processing

  • DisplayWrite 4/2 - A version of the DisplayWrite word processor for OS/2.

  • XyWrite III Plus 3.53 - This version of Xywrite adds desktop publishing features, a thesaurus and spell checker.

  • Nota Bene 3.0 - A word processor that was once popular in academic settings, it includes fast indexing, lots of style and formatting commands, and foreign language processing.

  • Q&A Write 1.03 - A relatively inexpensive (which at the time meant $199) and easy to use word processor that still has lots of features.


Table of Contents from the July 1988 issue of PC World

Spreadsheet Add-Ins

  • Lucid 3-D 1.0 - A pop-up spreadsheet that includes file linking, auditing functions, and more.

  • SQZ Plus - Helps you to save disk space and secure your data.

  • 3-2-1 Bastoff 1.0 - Speeds up recalculations in Lotus 1-2-3.

  • 4Views 1.0 - Adds better sorting, easier data entry features, and reporting features to Lotus 1-2-3.

Desktop Publishing

  • PagePerfect - Combines the features of a word processor and page-layout program.

  • Publisher's Type Foundry 1.02 - A font editor that works with LaserJet and PostScript.

  • Corel Tabin 1.00, Table Manners 2.2, VP/Tabs 1.0 - A collection of programs that help import Lotus 1-2-3 worksheets into Ventura Publisher.

Business Graphics

  • Business Graphics Roundup - A category of software that was mostly consumed by Power Point. Products looked at here include Freelance Plus 2.0, GEM Presentation Team 1.0, Microsoft Chart 3.0, 35mm Express 4.1, and Windows Graph 1.0.


Table of Contents from the July 1988 issue of PC World (continued)

Departments

  • In This Issue - A preview of this special "Software Update" issue.

  • Top of the News - The latest PC related news including: a new IBM Model 5535 laptop featuring a 10 MHz 286, 1 MB RAM, 1.44MB floppy, and 20MB hard drive for $4000; Ashton-Tate creates new dCAL language for dBASE; the debut of SuperCalc 5; new Full Impact spreadsheet program for Macintosh; new 2400bps and 9600bps Smartmodems from Hayes; new 286 based laptop from Mitsubishi; and more.

  • David Bunnell - The potential threat that Apple's lawsuits against Microsoft and HP pose to creativity and innovation in the computer industry.

  • Letters - Letters from readers about the recent format change in PC World, a review of SmartKey, VP-Planner, Quattro vs. 1-2-3 benchmarks, public e-mail services, faxing vs. e-mail, and more.

  • Richard Landry - Vendors and proprietary "standards".

  • Next In PC World - The next issue of PC World focusses on "low-cost computing".

  • Stewart Alsop - IBM's marketing hype for their Micro Channel bus included on PS/2 computers.

  • On IBM - A look at IBM's strategy vs. Compaq's strategy and how Compaq in winning.

  • Industry Outlook - The first Micro Channel clones arrive including machines from Tandy and Dell; Lotus 1-2-3 still leads spreadsheet sales; sales of DOS based spreadsheet programs expected to increase through 1989; Intel introduces lower cost 386SX CPU; Tandy introduces THOR, an erasable optical technology; memory prices rise dramatically; and more.

  • Preview - A preview of dBASE IV which includes a built-in compiler, 240 new commands, and support for SQL.


Back cover of the July 1988 issue of PC World

Read more: https://www.megalextoria.com/wordpress/index.php/2024/01/02/pc-world-july-1988/